Commercial Real Estate

Commercial Real Estate
Commercial Real Estate

Monday, October 31, 2011

The lone bright spot in the commercial market

A longtime real estate expert gives his take during an industry event

Written by Lily Leung
Oct. 26, 2011

The commercial real estate market is going through a period of stagnation, with the apartment sector standing as the lone bright spot, said a veteran real estate analyst Wednesday at an industry gathering in Los Angeles.
"I think we're stuck," summarized Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services executive Hessam Nadji, who kicked off a market update session at the Urban Land Institute fall meeting.
The annual event brings together the who's who of the real estate industry, from researchers to mortgage bankers and multifamily investors.
The market pause is a result of good and bad conditions, said Nadji, who's often cited by several publications including The Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg/Businessweek.
The bad first: Home prices continue to slide across the country, the European economy is in turmoil and distressed homes sales continue to account for about 20-30 percent of all transactions.
The good, which often gets overlooked: Retails sales have rebounded, as well as corporate profits, which is important because they are the underpinning of investment and hiring. Still, even profitable companies are reserved about any "aggressive expansion," given market conditions, Nadji said.
Slice by slice, apartments have recovered quickly, while the office and retails sectors have reached their bottom, Nadji said.
Nadji predicts "a very gradual recovery" but says we won't see meaningful progress until after the presidential election. He added that the chances of the country falling into another recession within the next 12 months is 20-25 percent.
What could help the recovery along?
Some panelists at Wednesday's market update talk mentioned easing regulation that affects those in the real estate industry. They said we were once too lax and now are too strict.

Housing insiders weigh in on new refinancing changes

Written by Lily Leung
Oct. 24, 2011

AP file photos — AP

Real estate thinkers, industry experts and politicians throughout the country expressed relief when the Obama administration on Monday announced major changes to a federal program that could help more homeowners who are underwater on their mortgage.
But some have adopted wait-and-see attitudes since lender participation in the program is voluntary and implementation could vary.
The changes will affect the Home Affordable Refinance Program, which aims to help certain borrowers refinance their home loans and reap the benefits of historically low mortgage rates. The program, as of August, has helped almost 894,000 people refinance their mortgages and lower their monthly payments. The administration estimates it could double that number with the new adjustments, a government-issued FAQ says.
The shifts include:
--Encouraging people to refinance into home loans with shorter terms by nixing certain fees.
--Taking away the 125 percent loan-to-value cap for fixed-rate home loans, something that kept many borrowers from taking advantage of the program.
--Getting rid of new appraisals and instead using what government officials call "automated valuations models."
Will this work?
"I doubt it will have a large effect nationwide," said Michael Lea, director of real estate center at San Diego State University. "And the question remains as to how banks will implement."
Government enterprises Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, who were part of Monday's announcement, will unroll more exact details on the changes by Nov. 15. Lenders are not required to take part in the program.
"Implementation schedules will vary as individual lenders, mortgage insurers and other market participants modify their processes," the FAQ says.
Lea, of SDSU, says the program could help qualified borrowers lower their mortgage payments, which may bode well for the U.S. economy. On the flip side, he said the changes don't address "the main problem of negative equity" and that refinancing could cost investors.
"Investors see refinance as a prepayment creating a loss relative to what they assumed they would earn when they invested in the mortgage (i.e., their investment at 5 percent is now one at 3.5 percent," Lea said, in an email to the Union-Tribune.
Greg McBride, an analyst at Bankrate.com, called the changes "long overdue," and "better late than never" in a tweet on Monday.
Here are some other reactions:

The banks

“Bank of America will participate in the enhanced Home Affordable Refinance Program announced by the Administration today and which is expected to go into effect December 1. Since the inception of HARP in 2009, Bank of America has helped more than 250,000 homeowners through this program; more than any other lender. Despite ongoing economic challenges, nearly 90 percent of our customers remain current on their mortgage. HARP helps these homeowners who remain current on their mortgage with options to lower their monthly payment when, otherwise, conventional funding options are limited.”
--Jumana Bauwens, spokeswoman for Bank of America, in a written statement.
"Wells Fargo welcomes the addition of the new HARP features to the existing offerings we provide our customers. We remain committed to responsibly making affordable and sustainable home loans available to consumers. We are waiting for the specific guidelines from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that will be required to put the changes into practice. Once we have the guidelines in hand, it will take us some time – depending on the complexity of the guidelines – to make the necessary systems changes to begin offering the new enhancements to our customers."
--Julie Green Rommel, Wells Fargo spokeswoman, in a written statement.

The politicians

“I am very pleased that the administration is taking these steps to help responsible homeowners refinance at historically low interest rates. Allowing these homeowners to refinance at today’s record low rates will keep families in their homes and boost the economy by putting thousands of dollars back in the pockets of borrowers. I urge FHFA to move swiftly to assure that these new policies will help as many homeowners as possible.”
--U.S. Senators Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.), in a statement to the media.
"The changes announced today will provide additional relief for middle-class Americans and an important boost for our economy. But we must not stop here. Economists warn that the housing crisis is ‘ground zero’ for the economy and jobs, and this is only one modest step towards addressing it."
--Congressman Elijah E. Cummings, also ranking minority member of the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform (D-Maryland)

The builders

"...For the many families who have fallen behind in their payments because of the weak job market, the changes to HARP will have no benefit. HARP is only open to mortgage borrowers who have remained current with their payments. Clearly, additional policy initiatives are urgently needed to prevent foreclosures and deal with the inventory of foreclosed homes."
--Bob Nielsen, National Association of Home Builders Chairman

New auction date set for "The Razor" house

Opening bid for bankruptcy estate falls from to $13.9M from $16M

Written by Lily Leung
Oct. 31, 2011
A new auction date has been set for "The Razor" house, constructed out of white polished concrete and designed by noted architect Wallace E. Cunningham. — K.C. Alfred / Union-Tribune staff

The auction date for "The Razor" house, a bankruptcy estate in La Jolla once featured in TV commercials, has been rescheduled for Nov. 10, according to the listing agent and recent court records.
The starting bid for the 11,000-square-foot home with private access to Black's Beach also has changed, falling to $13.9 million from the $16 million set in September, documents show. The never-occupied home, at 9826 La Jolla Farms Road, is the bankruptcy estate of Jimmy Donald Cooksey Jr., according to the documents.
The original Sept. 27 auction was not held because "unfortunately, no bidders qualified for the auction," the attorneys representing trustee Leslie T. Gladstone wrote. Listing agent Bob Hurwitz, who is based in Beverly Hills, said the real estate company came close with an overseas buyer but the funding could not be ironed out in time.
The terms for the newly set auction also have changed. Previous terms required bidders to wire in $500,000 to the trustee one week before the auction date. Now, interested buyers can demonstrate ability to close two days before the auction and bring a cashier's check to the trustee in the amount of $500,000. The winning bidder would endorse the check over to the trustee.
The Nov. 10 auction will begin at 11 a.m. at 3580 Carmel Mountain Road, Suite 300 -- the law offices of Mintz, Levin, Cohn, Ferris, Glovsky and Popeo, P.C., which is representing trustee Leslie T. Gladstone.
Court documents say the property, which was never finished by the former owner, will be sold free and clear of liens.
The home is the work of San Diego-based architectural designer Wallace E. Cunningham, named one of Architectural Digest's Top 100 Designers.
About $34 million was spent building the estate, which was once featured in commercials for Calvin Klein and Visa. The original asking price was $45 million.